Stretching and Folding in Lynx Fur Returns: Evidence for a Strange Attractor in Nature?

William M. Schaffer

The American Naturalist, Vol. 124, No. 6, pp. 798-820, 1984


Abstract

A three-dimensional phase portrait for fur returns of Canadian lynx is constructed from a time series for a single variable. The resulting orbit is essentially sheetlike and exhibits successive stretching and folding, a hallmark of low-dimensional, strange attractors. Analysis of the associated one-dimensional map suggests that the observed fluctuations, and hence the stretching and folding, most likely represent an orbit which was at least twice periodic with noise superimposed.

Keywords

strange attractorsLynx fur